Champions Trophy Final Preview: India vs. New Zealand

The stage is set for what promises to be an exciting Champions Trophy final between India and New Zealand. Both teams have earned their places, demonstrating exceptional cricket throughout the tournament. Let me share my thoughts on this highly anticipated matchup.
The Best Teams Have Made It
It's refreshing when a tournament concludes with its two strongest teams in the final, which is precisely what we have here. While tournament structures don't always guarantee this outcome, India and New Zealand have proven themselves the most deserving contenders through consistent performances.
Addressing the Venue Controversy
India enters as the favorite, having dominated the tournament thus far. There's been considerable media speculation suggesting India deliberately engineered playing all their matches at a single venue to gain an unfair advantage. However, this narrative misses crucial context.
The arrangement became necessary due to genuine geopolitical tensions that prevented India from traveling to Pakistan. This was a case of India being unable to go, not unwilling to go—an important distinction that's often overlooked in the heated discourse.
When this situation emerged, organizers faced two realistic options: either proceed with the Champions Trophy without India or schedule all of India's matches in one location. India wouldn't have objected to being excluded from the tournament, but the financial reality is that cricket tournaments without India suffer significant commercial losses. The broadcast rights, sponsorships, and viewership that India brings to any tournament are unmatched, making their participation crucial from a business perspective.
It's worth emphasizing that in recent years, India has rarely complained about conditions or travel demands. They've toured as frequently as any team in international cricket, adapting to various conditions worldwide. This situation wasn't engineered by India but rather emerged from the complex political realities of our region that extend well beyond cricket.
The Knockout History Between India and New Zealand
This final carries additional significance given the recent history between these two teams in knockout matches. New Zealand has been something of a nemesis for India in crucial tournament games over the past few years:
- In the 2019 World Cup semifinal, New Zealand delivered a heartbreaking defeat to India in a match that spanned two days due to rain
- The Black Caps triumphed again in the 2021 World Test Championship final, denying India their first ICC Test title
- During the 2021 T20 World Cup, New Zealand effectively knocked India out at the group stage with a comprehensive victory
However, India finally broke this pattern in the 2023 World Cup semifinal with a decisive victory. That match featured two brilliant centuries—Virat Kohli's historic 50th ODI hundred and a blistering quick-fire century from Shreyas Iyer that put the game beyond New Zealand's reach.
This Champions Trophy final presents another opportunity for India to cement their resurgence against a team that has troubled them in crucial matches. For New Zealand, it's a chance to prove their knockout prowess against India wasn't a mere coincidence.
India's Tournament Standouts
Virat Kohli: The Master Chaser
Virat Kohli has been nothing short of box office in this tournament. When chasing targets, he transforms into a different beast altogether. Much like a vehicle with a precise navigation system, Kohli plots his journey to the target with remarkable clarity.
What makes Kohli exceptional is his ability to remain calm under pressure. He never allows the final target to overwhelm him. Instead, he stays firmly anchored in the present while maintaining awareness of the future. His philosophy is simple yet profound: execute well in the present, and the future will take care of itself.
Supporting Cast
While Kohli often claims the spotlight, India's success has been built on numerous contributions:
- Shubman Gill has shown remarkable consistency
- Shreyas Iyer has been outstanding in the middle order
- Axar Patel has proven himself versatile in all situations
- KL Rahul has fulfilled every role assigned to him
- Hardik Pandya has been the linchpin of India's team composition
Pandya deserves special mention as arguably white-ball cricket's premier all-rounder currently. His bowling in challenging phases, including power plays, has been exceptional. In one match, he delivered six consecutive overs before returning to bat beautifully. His presence gives India unmatched batting depth that no other team can rival.
Bowling Brilliance
While batting often dominates conversations, India's bowling attack has been equally impressive. Mohammad Shami has been sensational after initially appearing to lack rhythm. You can typically gauge Shami's effectiveness by his run-up, and after those first few overs against Pakistan where he seemed to be jogging in, he's found his stride and looked fantastic.
The selection of Varun Chakravarthy reflects excellent foresight from the selectors. His inclusion has been possible because of the roles played by Ravindra Jadeja and Axar Patel, who provide batting depth while handling their bowling duties according to conditions.
The New Zealand Challenge
New Zealand presents a formidable challenge, particularly because they're well-equipped to handle these conditions. With players like Glenn Phillips, Mitchell Santner, and Rachin Ravindra, they won't be fazed by the playing environment.
Interestingly, India might have preferred facing South Africa in this final. While South Africa has been batting brilliantly and represents a dangerous opponent, they might have needed time to adapt to these conditions. Additionally, their history in knockout matches might have affected their mindset.
New Zealand brings a sense of calm to big occasions. Rachin Ravindra is in excellent form, and Kane Williamson—one of modern cricket's jewels—has been playing fantastically. Their spinners are performing well, though Matt Henry's injury status remains a concern despite his brief return during their previous match.
The Final Outlook
New Zealand are perhaps the calmest team in high-pressure finals, handling big situations better than most. This should make for an excellent contest, though India remains the favorite.
The final will likely be played on the same pitch where India faced Pakistan. I expect a decent surface similar to the one used for the Australia match, where many overestimated the pitch's difficulties. We're looking at a 275-280 par score rather than a low-scoring Karachi-type encounter.
India appears comfortable with either batting first or chasing, giving them tactical flexibility. Their recent performance against New Zealand demonstrated their ability to set imposing totals, but they wouldn't be concerned about chasing either.
All elements point to an exciting final between cricket's most consistent teams. May the best team lift the trophy!
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